Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 2.356762 2.722732 3.134098 3.632142 4.220659 4.896175 5.733485
2025-03-02 1.771109 2.238731 2.820211 3.602404 4.636159 5.968199 7.834888
2025-03-09 1.494165 2.004652 2.683796 3.665438 5.067868 7.029651 10.035516
2025-03-16 1.276708 1.794485 2.520906 3.632838 5.324755 7.856757 12.037213
2025-03-23 1.119989 1.637361 2.396749 3.617925 5.580914 8.698852 14.203127
2025-03-30 0.984979 1.489319 2.258930 3.550798 5.730060 9.379729 16.223518
2025-04-06 0.902006 1.407555 2.207748 3.606788 6.078519 10.435834 19.105151
2025-04-13 0.806613 1.293014 2.087401 3.526022 6.172182 11.052358 21.288023
2025-04-20 0.765385 1.261477 2.098435 3.670912 6.688723 12.528032 25.491120
2025-04-27 0.704662 1.189319 2.030115 3.660862 6.908581 13.464040 28.772065
2025-05-04 0.670870 1.159930 2.032830 3.782026 7.401645 15.037107 33.844491
2025-05-11 0.626570 1.106605 1.985206 3.797745 7.679485 16.200985 38.240514
2025-05-18 0.581669 1.053794 1.944428 3.847596 8.097844 17.897786 44.832433
2025-05-25 0.530117 0.983946 1.865141 3.813001 8.343607 19.304863 51.305801
2025-06-01 0.495783 0.942801 1.836321 3.880313 8.836019 21.435398 60.612745
2025-06-08 0.456050 0.885870 1.767221 3.845558 9.074833 22.977695 68.770638
2025-06-15 0.422655 0.837894 1.710511 3.829662 9.357935 24.716894 78.292874
2025-06-22 0.388632 0.784691 1.635647 3.758120 9.481148 26.039606 86.975805
2025-06-29 0.367934 0.757702 1.615430 3.817792 9.975021 28.605859 101.394316
2025-07-06 0.339268 0.710102 1.542442 3.731717 10.040196 29.862765 111.357836
2025-07-13 0.328747 0.701941 1.560219 3.886142 10.846096 33.779780 134.395314
2025-07-20 0.309096 0.670762 1.519198 3.875430 11.149155 36.084008 151.641836
2025-07-27 0.298882 0.660489 1.527934 4.004601 11.926187 40.344442 180.713664